NFL player props.
Every NFL prop on our board: the line, the price, the book, and a short rate-based case behind each card. Graded nightly in the NFL props record below, which never mixes with our game-pick record.
The props record is tracked separately from our game picks. It never counts toward the game-pick record or the header total. Every prop is graded at its published price with a flat 1 unit staked.
01On the board
Why this prop
Nix is averaging 188.4 passing yards per game through five weeks. Seattle is allowing 150.8 net passing yards per game, the fewest in the NFL, so he has to beat his own average against the league's stingiest pass defense.
Line and price: Pinnacle, retrieved 2026-10-14 20:40 CT.
Why this prop
Smith-Njigba is averaging 116.6 receiving yards per game on 9.8 targets a night, clearing this line by 25.1 yards before any matchup adjustment. Denver allows 202.2 passing yards per game, and no Seahawk commands a bigger share of it.
Line and price: Pinnacle, retrieved 2026-10-14 20:40 CT.
Why this prop
Smith-Njigba has caught seven touchdown passes in five games, a 1.4-per-game rate, yet he is priced close to a coin flip to score on Thursday night. Touchdowns are volatile, but at a plus price the rate is worth backing.
Line and price: Pinnacle, retrieved 2026-10-14 20:40 CT.
Why this prop
Darnold has averaged 188.8 passing yards per game in four starts on only 24.5 attempts a night, and Denver is allowing 202.2 net passing yards per game. The line sits 31.7 yards above what he has actually produced per game.
Line and price: Pinnacle, retrieved 2026-10-14 20:40 CT.
Why this prop
Stafford is averaging 314.4 passing yards per game on 43.2 attempts, with this line set 32.9 yards below his rate. Arizona allows 236.8 passing yards per game; the honest risk is a blowout script, and the number already prices some of that in.
Line and price: Pinnacle, retrieved 2026-10-14 20:40 CT.
Why this prop
Nacua's three games have been a target avalanche: 15.0 targets and 112.3 receiving yards per game. Three games is a small sample, but his average clears this line by 18.8 yards against an Arizona defense allowing 236.8 passing yards per game.
Line and price: Pinnacle, retrieved 2026-10-14 20:40 CT.
Why this prop
Small sample, stated plainly: Bowers has played three games. In those games he averaged 104.0 receiving yards on 11.3 targets a night, and Buffalo is allowing 280.4 passing yards per game, second-most in the NFL.
Line and price: Pinnacle, retrieved 2026-10-14 20:40 CT.
Why this prop
Cook is averaging 106.4 rushing yards per game on 19.0 carries, clearing this line by 13.9 yards on rate alone. Las Vegas is allowing 140.6 rushing yards per game, fifth-most in the NFL.
Line and price: Pinnacle, retrieved 2026-10-14 20:40 CT.
Why this prop
Robinson is averaging 116.0 rushing yards per game on 20.4 carries, and Atlanta feeds him in every script. Chicago's run defense is genuinely good at 96.0 yards allowed per game, but he can finish 26 yards below his season average and still cash.
Line and price: Pinnacle, retrieved 2026-10-14 20:40 CT.
Why this prop
Prescott is averaging 276.2 passing yards per game, and this line asks for slightly more than that on the road at Lambeau Field. Green Bay is allowing 181.0 passing yards per game, fifth-fewest in the NFL.
Line and price: Pinnacle, retrieved 2026-10-14 20:40 CT.
Why this prop
Stroud is averaging 280.4 passing yards per game, beating this line by 23.9 yards on his own rate. Jacksonville is allowing 266.2 passing yards per game, third-most in the NFL.
Line and price: Pinnacle, retrieved 2026-10-14 20:40 CT.
Why this prop
Mahomes is averaging 259.2 passing yards per game across four starts, and this line sits 30.7 yards below his production rate. The Chargers allow just 193.0 passing yards per game, but that is already baked into the number.
Line and price: Pinnacle, retrieved 2026-10-14 20:40 CT.
Lines and prices are Pinnacle's unless a card names another book, retrieved on the date shown on each card. Prices move constantly, so confirm the current number at your book before betting. Must be 21+. If gambling is a problem, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.