Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI Prediction, Odds, Best Bets - League of Legends World Championship 2026

Two 2-0 teams meet for the first quarterfinal spot at Worlds 2026. Dplus KIA beat G2 Esports and T1 to get here; Movistar KOI are unbeaten too. Our pick: Movistar KOI +1.5 maps (-108).

01The Matchup

The first quarterfinal spot at the League of Legends World Championship 2026 is decided here. Dplus KIA and Movistar KOI are both 2-0 in the Swiss stage, and the winner of this best of three goes 3-0 and straight into the quarterfinals in Allen, Texas; the loser drops into the 2-1 pool and plays again later in the week.

Dplus KIA, from Korea's LCK, opened with a win over G2 Esports and then beat T1, the defending champions, in a game that ran past 41 minutes on Saturday. Movistar KOI, from Europe's LEC, beat Bilibili Gaming on day one and CTBC Flying Oyster on day two. Both wins for both teams came in best-of-one matches, so this is the first long series either side plays at the event, and it is the first real test of how each unbeaten start holds up over three games.

02Key Factors

Start with who each team actually beat. Dplus KIA's 2-0 was built against the harder slate: G2 Esports are a 1-1 team that won its second game, and T1 arrived as the three-time defending champions before Dplus KIA came back to beat them on Saturday.

Movistar KOI's wins are real but lighter: Bilibili Gaming and CTBC Flying Oyster are both 1-1 teams, and neither has beaten a 2-0 side at this event. That gap is why Pinnacle hangs Dplus KIA at -374, a no-vig series win probability of 75.3 percent. Our read is close to the market on the series itself: we put Dplus KIA at 72 percent to win it. Where we split from the market is the margin.

The map handicap is priced as a pure coin flip, -108 on both sides, a 50.0 percent no-vig line on Dplus KIA winning 2-0. We put a sweep at 42 percent: Movistar KOI have not dropped a game yet at this event, and a team playing its first best of three of the week, with nothing to lose and a quarterfinal spot one map away from guaranteed contention, is a live candidate to take a game off anyone.

03The Pick

Take Movistar KOI +1.5 maps at -108. Our view is that this price asks the wrong question: it treats a 2-0 sweep by Dplus KIA and a map for Movistar KOI as equally likely, and the evidence of the first two days says they are not. Movistar KOI need one game in three to cash this pick, and they have won every game they have played at Worlds 2026 so far. Dplus KIA remain the likely series winner, and our projected score is Dplus KIA 2-1, which is exactly the result this pick is built for.

The outright underdog moneyline at +286 was the aggressive version of the same read; at +200 or larger we default to the map handicap unless the upset case is explicit, and here the honest case is a competitive series, not a KOI win. The risk is a Dplus KIA sweep: if the T1 version of this team shows up for two straight games, the pick loses, and the -108 price is the compensation for that risk.

Every pick is published with its line before the game. Odds via consensus sportsbooks at time of writing and move constantly. Must be 21+. If gambling is a problem, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.