Priscila Cachoeira vs Nina Milošević Prediction, Odds, Best Bets - UFC Fight Night

Nina Milošević is -520 off a UFC career that has lasted 3:41. Priscila Cachoeira, at 38, has won six straight, and three of her last four wins ended in the first round, two of them against the women now ranked No. 1 and No. 9 at bantamweight.

The Matchup

Cachoeira's career was supposed to be winding down by now. She is 38, she has been in the UFC since 2018, and her record is 13-9 with the kind of defensive numbers that usually end runs: she absorbs 7.45 significant strikes a minute and defends only 46 percent of what comes at her. Instead she has put together the best stretch of her life.

Her six most recent fights are all wins. She knocked out Josiane Nunes in the first round, knocked out Joselyne Edwards in the first round five months later, and finished Chelsea Chandler in the first round in June. Edwards sits at No. 1 in the bantamweight rankings today, and Chandler sits at No. 9.

Across from her stands the reason for the price. Milošević is 30 and 9-1, with five first-round finishes among her nine wins, four by knockout and two by submission. Her UFC debut in August lasted 3:41, long enough to knock out Hailey Cowan, an opponent who sits outside the bantamweight top 15. That one short fight is the whole of her UFC record, and it is being priced here against a veteran with eight years in this division.

Key Factors

The fight is a race to the first clean exchange, and both women know it. Cachoeira lands 4.35 significant strikes a minute and hunts the head, and her recent finishes have come exactly that way, early and violent. Milošević's power is the counterweight: a 9-1 record built on finishes, aimed at a defense that has never kept anyone honest for long. If Milošević lands first, Cachoeira's 46 percent defense gives her very little margin, and the favorite wins the way the price expects.

Cachoeira's margin sits in the other column. She defends 70 percent of takedowns, she has won long fights when the early finish did not come, and she has beaten ranked opposition in consecutive years. Milošević has never had to solve a second round in the UFC, never had to win minutes, and never faced anyone who hits back this hard this early. In the small Apex cage there is little room for a young favorite to ride out a bad first minute, and Cachoeira only needs one.

Every pick is published with its line before the game. Odds via consensus sportsbooks at time of writing and move constantly. Must be 21+. If gambling is a problem, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.