Belmont Bruins vs Lipscomb Bisons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets - Week 2
Belmont crosses Nashville at 2-0 with a defense that has allowed 49.5 points a game, while Lipscomb is 1-2 and has given up 79.7 a game. The Battle of the Boulevard rarely lacks pace, and this one pairs the steadier team with the leakier defense.
The Matchup
Belmont visits Lipscomb on Tuesday night at Allen Arena in Nashville, on ESPN+, with Belmont a 3.5-point favorite, a total of 155.5, and the Bruins priced at -175 on the moneyline against Lipscomb at +145. It is the Battle of the Boulevard, and this edition matches an unbeaten visitor against a home team still searching for its footing.
Belmont is 2-0, with wins over Southern Indiana (72-54) and Centre (75-45). The Bruins have scored 73.5 points a game and allowed just 49.5, and Jack Smiley leads them at 20.0 points a game, with Aleksa Ristic at 3.5 assists a game and Ethan Sage at 6.0 rebounds a game. Two games in, that defensive number is built on Southern Indiana and Centre, so last season's fuller picture matters for the Bruins: 83.9 points scored and 73.3 allowed across 32 games in the Missouri Valley, a team that could score with anyone in its league.
Lipscomb is 1-2. The Bisons lost 86-79 at Southeast Missouri State and 76-54 at Iowa, then beat SIU Edwardsville 78-77. They have scored 70.3 points a game and allowed 79.7. Takai Simpkins leads them at 18.0 points a game, Mateo Esmeraldo leads them at 3.0 assists a game, and Devyn Martin pulls 9.3 rebounds a game.
Last season, in the Atlantic Sun, Lipscomb scored 79.7 and allowed 75.7 across 32 games, an offense-first team then, too. No player on either side carries an injury designation in the ESPN report for this game.
Key Factors
The defensive gap is the loudest fact in this game. Belmont has allowed 49.5 points a game, and even discounting the level of the first two opponents, the Bruins held both under 55. Lipscomb has allowed 79.7 a game and gave up 86 at Southeast Missouri State. A Bisons team that needs a shootout to win is running into the one opponent in this matchup built to deny it one.
Smiley against Simpkins is the individual battle. Both lead their teams in scoring, Smiley at 20.0 a game and Simpkins at 18.0, but Smiley works in an offense that has produced a double-digit win in both of its games, while Simpkins is carrying a team whose second options have been quiet. Martin's 9.3 rebounds a game are Lipscomb's best counter: second chances are how an underdog at home steals a rivalry game.
The honest counterpoint is the building and the rivalry itself. Allen Arena will be loud, Lipscomb's one win came by a single point in a game it refused to lose, and Belmont's glossy defensive numbers were posted against Southern Indiana and Centre, not against a team with Simpkins' scoring punch. If the Bisons turn this into the track meet the total of 155.5 expects and Martin controls the glass, the home underdog can absolutely win this outright.
This is a short trip across Nashville, and Belmont brings the steadier team with it. The Bruins have defended at a level Lipscomb has not approached in any of its three games, and Jack Smiley gives Belmont a scorer who can answer every Bisons run in a building that will have plenty of visiting fans. Lay the short number: Belmont Bruins -3.5 at -110.
Game Information
| Date | Tuesday (11/10) |
|---|---|
| Start Time | 7:00 PM CT |
| How to Watch | ESPN+ |
| Venue | Allen Arena, Nashville |
| Spread | Belmont Bruins -3.5 |
| Total | 155.5 |
| Moneyline | Belmont Bruins -175 |
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