Louisiana Tech vs Troy Prediction, Odds, Best Bets - Week 10
Louisiana Tech has won three straight by a combined 69 points and allowed 20 total points across those games, including two shutouts. Troy just beat James Madison at home, the best win on either resume, and gets the Bulldogs in its own building. This is the best defense Tech has faced in a month meeting the best form in the Sun Belt.
The Matchup
Louisiana Tech's defensive run is the story of this game. The Bulldogs have beaten South Alabama 35-20, Old Dominion 26-0 and UL Monroe 24-0 in their last three, allowing 20 points total, and they allow 20.9 per game on the season. Behind Blake Baker, who has thrown for 1,327 yards with 13 touchdowns, with Jalen Mickens at 618 receiving yards and Andrew Burnette at 365 rushing yards, Tech scores 32.6 points per game - the most complete profile in this matchup.
Troy's counter is its ground game and its building. The Trojans run for 193.9 yards per game behind Gavin Griffin's 436 rushing yards, Goose Crowder has thrown for 1,162 yards with 9 touchdowns, and TK Keyes leads the receivers at 282 yards. Troy allows 24.4 points per game and just beat James Madison 24-21 at home. But the Trojans' offense has a stall problem: it scored 14 in a loss at UL Monroe and 6 in a loss to Louisiana within the last month.
Key Factors
The step up in competition is the honest question for Tech. ULM, Old Dominion and South Alabama are not Troy at Veterans Memorial Stadium, and the Trojans' rushing attack is the first real test of the Bulldogs' front in a month. If Griffin gets going and Troy controls the clock, a road favorite laying 5.5 is in a fistfight. But Troy's offense has been shut down completely twice recently, and Tech's defense is better than the units that did it.
Baker also gives the Bulldogs the more reliable passing game if this turns into a second-half chase, and Tech has won its last three road tests of this kind by playing exactly the same game. The Bulldogs' balance - a top defense in the conference and an offense scoring in the thirties - is more than Troy has beaten this season.
Louisiana Tech's defense is playing its best football of the season, and Troy's offense has been shut down twice in the last month. The Bulldogs are the more complete team on both sides of the ball. Lay the points on the road. Take Louisiana Tech -5.5 at -110.
Game Information
| Date | Saturday (11/7) |
|---|---|
| Start Time | 4:00 PM ET |
| How to Watch | ESPN+ |
| Venue | Veterans Memorial Stadium, Troy |
| Spread | Louisiana Tech -5.5 |
| Total | 47.5 |
| Moneyline | Louisiana Tech -205 |
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