Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Prediction, Odds, Best Bets - IEM Beijing 2026

Natus Vincere and BetBoom lost their IEM Beijing semi-finals this morning. They meet again on Saturday night with third place on the line.

The Matchup

Natus Vincere and BetBoom close their IEM Beijing 2026 campaigns against each other on Saturday night in the third place decider, a best of 3 between two teams that lost their semi-finals this morning. Natus Vincere fell 0-2 to The MongolZ in the first semi-final. BetBoom fell 0-2 to MOUZ in the second, their second sweep loss to MOUZ this week. Neither team is playing for the trophy anymore. Third place, the prize money step that comes with it, and one last win in Beijing are what is left.

Both teams field their regular five, with no stand-in on either side: Aleksib, iM, b1t, w0nderful and makazze for Natus Vincere, and Boombl4, zorte, S1ren, d1Ledez and Magnojez for BetBoom. BetBoom are ranked No. 7 in the world on HLTV and Natus Vincere No. 10, and the two know each other well: BetBoom won their last meeting 2-0 at PGL Masters Bucharest on October 26. The winner goes home third. The loser goes home fourth.

Key Factors

BetBoom's case starts with how live their rifles are. Magnojez carries a 1.16 rating across 15 maps in Beijing, S1ren 1.06 and Boombl4 1.04, and on Friday that depth carried a quarter-final: BetBoom beat FURIA 2-1 with zorte the player of the match at a 1.35 rating, and the decider on Nuke went 16-14 in overtime. BetBoom's four wins in Beijing have come against 9z, Aurora, Liquid and FURIA, and three of the four needed a decider, which is the habit of a team that plays close series and closes them.

Natus Vincere's week runs through one player. w0nderful is the top-rated player at this event with a 1.42 rating across 15 maps, and he was the player of the match in Friday's quarter-final at 1.54. The drop behind him is the problem.

Aleksib sits at 0.91 across those 15 maps, and in this morning's semi-final Natus Vincere lost both maps with nobody outside w0nderful above a 1.14 rating: Cache went 13-10 and Inferno 13-11, competitive maps that Natus Vincere could not close. Their team rating for the event is 1.11, ahead of BetBoom's 1.03, but the production is concentrated in one chair, and BetBoom have five players who can take a map over.

The counterpoint is real, and it is this morning. BetBoom have now been swept by MOUZ twice in five days, and their stars went quiet when it happened again today: zorte finished the semi-final at 0.72 and Boombl4 at 0.81. If Natus Vincere's map pick lands the way The MongolZ's did and w0nderful plays at his event level, BetBoom's depth edge may not matter.

But BetBoom beat this exact Natus Vincere five 2-0 two weeks ago in Bucharest, their form line is the steadier of the two at 7-3 against 6-4, and a decider between two tired teams tends to reward the side with more ways to win a round. That side is BetBoom.

Every pick is published with its line before the game. Odds via consensus sportsbooks at time of writing and move constantly. Must be 21+. If gambling is a problem, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.