Natus Vincere vs Falcons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets - IEM Beijing 2026

Natus Vincere swept Falcons on Monday at IEM Beijing 2026, and the rematch in the Group A lower bracket final sends the loser home.

The Matchup

Natus Vincere and Falcons meet for the second time in three days at IEM Beijing 2026, and this time the loser goes home. The Group A lower bracket final sends its winner into the quarter-finals, and both teams arrive off a sweep in this morning's elimination semi-finals, played a few hours before this series starts. Natus Vincere are ranked No. 11 in the world on HLTV and Falcons are ranked No. 6.

Their first meeting here, on Monday, went to Natus Vincere in two maps, 13-5 on Ancient and 13-11 on Mirage, and it is the reason Falcons are in the lower bracket at all. Both teams bring their regular five, with no stand-in on either side: Aleksib, iM, b1t, w0nderful and makazze for Natus Vincere, and karrigan, NiKo, m0NESY, TeSeS and kyousuke for Falcons.

Key Factors

Falcons played the cleaner semi-final. They held HEROIC below double digits on both maps this morning, 13-8 on Ancient and 13-6 on Dust2, and kyousuke was the best player in the server by a distance, going 44-25 with a 1.90 rating and 114.7 average damage per round.

Behind him, m0NESY carries the stronger AWP line of the two snipers into this series, with a 1.32 rating and 81.2 average damage per round across the last three months, against 1.19 and 75.8 for w0nderful. If Falcons get that version of their two young stars again, they have the firepower edge on every map in the pool.

Natus Vincere have the fresher proof in this exact matchup, and it cuts the other way. They beat Falcons in two maps on Monday, and this morning they cleared B8 by the same score, 13-8 on Ancient and 13-11 on Dust2, with w0nderful going 40-26 at a 1.45 rating and Aleksib adding 31-25 at 1.35.

Their last ten series read 6-4 against 5-5 for Falcons. The soft spot in their morning was makazze, who went 29-37 across the two maps against B8, and the second map needed the final round of regulation against a team ranked No. 22. Falcons' semi-final asked fewer questions.

The honest counterpoint is Monday itself. Natus Vincere have already solved this veto once this week, and if Aleksib calls the same game again, Falcons' firepower may not get the rounds it needs. Both teams are also playing a second elimination series on the same day, so there is no rest edge either way. What tips it is the level of this morning's two sweeps: Falcons dismantled the stronger opponent without dropping a map, and their stars are producing at the higher rate.

Every pick is published with its line before the game. Odds via consensus sportsbooks at time of writing and move constantly. Must be 21+. If gambling is a problem, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.