Nottingham Forest vs Brentford Prediction, Odds, Best Bets - Premier League

(18)NOTTINGHAM FOREST1-3-4
VS
(6)BRENTFORD2-5-1
SPREAD
Brentford -0.5
TOTAL
2.75
MONEYLINE
Brentford +104 / Draw +280 / Nottingham Forest +258
Saturday (10/31) · 10:00 AM CTGtech Community Stadium, Brentfordodds at time of writing
Kevin Schade
Kevin Schade. Photo: Timmy96, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons

Brentford have turned the Gtech into one of the harder away days in the league, and a Nottingham Forest side stuck in the bottom three needs points more than it needs style. Saturday's meeting tests whether Forest's away goals can trouble one of the division's stingiest home defences.

The Matchup

Brentford have built sixth place on a simple formula, organised at home and stubborn everywhere. At the Gtech they have won two and drawn one of four matches while conceding only 3 goals, and Kevin Schade, who has 3 goals this season, gives them a direct threat that suits how they play.

Nottingham Forest arrive in eighteenth place with one win all season, and their problem is plain. They have scored 6 goals across their four away matches, which keeps them in games, but they have also conceded 7 on the road and keep coming away with less than their play promises.

Neither club has named its side yet. The expectation is Schade and Igor Thiago leading Brentford's attack after both started at Hull City last Sunday, when Thiago set up Dango Ouattara's goal in a 1-1 draw. For Forest, the expectation is Liam Delap leading the line with Morgan Gibbs-White behind him.

Gibbs-White is expected to start again after he returned at Ipswich Town last Friday having trained fully all week, and Nikola Milenkovic is expected to continue in the back three after starting at Ipswich. Igor Jesus is a doubt for Forest with a calf injury that has kept him out of the last two matches, and Nicolo Savona is out with a knee injury, so keep an eye on the Forest team news before placing a bet.

Key Factors

Forest's away record is the counterpoint, and it is a real one. They won 2-1 at Aston Villa in September and have scored in all four of their away matches, so Brentford cannot treat this as a game that wins itself. Brentford's own habit of drawing is the other danger. The Bees have drawn five of their eight matches this season, and a draw is as good as a defeat for this pick.

What settles it is the other end of the pitch. Brentford have conceded 3 goals in four home matches, Delap has 1 league goal this season, and a home side this organised usually finds a way past a team sitting eighteenth, even if it takes until late. Forest keep games close, but close has not been enough for them all season, and the Gtech is an unforgiving place to chase a first win in weeks.

Our Pick
Brentford -0.5 (+104)

Brentford at home are patient, direct and very hard to break down, and Forest have to come to west London chasing points their season says they are short of the goals to take. Schade's running and Thiago's presence give Brentford the clearer threat, and this defence rarely hands out gifts at the Gtech. The draw is the danger, because Brentford have made a habit of them this season. Take Brentford -0.5 at +104.

SCORE PROJECTION
Nottingham Forest 0, Brentford 2

Game information

DATESaturday (10/31)
START TIME10:00 AM CT
VENUEGtech Community Stadium, Brentford
COMPETITIONPremier League
ROUNDPremier League Matchweek 9
SPREADBrentford -0.5 (+104)
TOTAL2.75 (Over -104 · Under -108)
MONEYLINEBrentford +104 / Draw +280 / Nottingham Forest +258
DRAW NO BETBrentford -197 / Nottingham Forest +166

Every pick is published with its line before the game. Odds via consensus sportsbooks at time of writing and move constantly. Must be 21+. If gambling is a problem, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.