OG vs Team Liquid Prediction, Odds, Best Bets - PARI Universe 2026

OG beat Team Liquid in the groups and beat the champions from The International on Wednesday. Liquid have won 3 of their last 10 series.

The Matchup

Friday's second lower bracket quarterfinal pairs two Group A teams who have been living on the edge of this bracket all week. OG finished third in the group at 2-2 and produced the result of the quarterfinals on Wednesday, beating Team Spirit, the champions from The International, in three games. Team Liquid finished fourth in the same group at 1-3, and their wins at this event have come against the weakest teams in their half of the field.

Both dropped into the lower bracket in different ways: OG were swept by GamerLegion in the upper bracket semifinal on Thursday, and Liquid, beaten by PARIVISION on Wednesday, swept Astra Invicta in an elimination series on Thursday to stay alive. The loser here goes home, and the winner plays a second series later on Friday. It is a best of three, played online.

The teams met in the group stage on Sunday, and OG won that series in three games. Both teams start the fives they have used all event. OG go with Natsumi, Topson, SSS, OneJey and skem. Liquid go with m1CKe, Malr1ne, Wisper, Boxi and tOfu.

Key Factors

Liquid's problem at this event is not that they lose. It is who they lose to, and how the losses repeat. They have won 3 of their last 10 series, and at PARI Universe their wins have come against Astra Invicta and 1w Team, the two weakest teams in their half of the field. Every time the opponent has been a playoff team, the series has ended the same way, with Liquid taking one good game and then losing the next two: against PARIVISION in the quarterfinal, against Team Yandex in the groups, and against OG in the groups.

The soft spot in those losses is consistent, too. tOfu died 28 times across the three group games against OG, and then died 31 times in the quarterfinal against PARIVISION. When Liquid's position four is being hunted that hard, Boxi is dragged into rescue duty and m1CKe loses the quiet farm game that makes Liquid dangerous late.

OG's side of it is the pair who won the group meeting. SSS totaled 24 kills, 16 deaths and 41 assists in that series and Natsumi finished at 22 kills and 18 assists, and the same two carried Wednesday's quarterfinal, when SSS went 34 kills, 12 deaths and 29 assists against Spirit and Topson added 42 assists.

That is the version of OG that wins this series: SSS starting fights Liquid cannot reset from, and Natsumi farming untouched behind him. OG do not need to be brilliant for three games. They need the shape they have already shown against this exact five, in a series where Liquid have spent the whole event proving they can be solved between games.

The counterpoint is Thursday, and it cuts hard both ways. Liquid's sweep of Astra Invicta was emphatic, with m1CKe dying once in two games at 22 kills and Wisper going 20 kills, 5 deaths and 28 assists, while OG played the worst series of their event a few hours later, losing the kill counts 9-22 and 13-40 to GamerLegion, with Natsumi held to 3 kills in two games and skem dying 21 times.

OG also start Friday on the shorter rest, having played the last series of Thursday. If that GamerLegion version of OG shows up, Liquid win this comfortably, and nobody should pretend otherwise. The longer record is why we still go the other way: one bad evening against the hottest team in the bracket weighs less than a week of Liquid losing the same series to every strong team they have faced, including this one.

Every pick is published with its line before the game. Odds via consensus sportsbooks at time of writing and move constantly. Must be 21+. If gambling is a problem, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.