Red Bull New York vs New England Revolution Prediction, Odds, Best Bets - MLS
New England has won three straight to climb to second in the East, and now a Red Bulls side fresh off beating Miami comes to Foxborough to test how real the revival is.
The Matchup
New England earned this home game the hard way. New England lost at Real Salt Lake and at home to Seattle at the start of October, then won three straight, beating Cincinnati 3-2 away, Chicago 1-0 at home, and Philadelphia 2-1 away on October 24 to move into second place in the East. Their home record across the season was strong throughout, 10 wins in 15 with only 16 goals conceded.
Red Bull New York arrive with the week's loudest recent result, a 2-0 home win over Inter Miami on October 24, but their away record across the season is the concern, with 27 goals conceded in 15 road games. Neither club has named its side yet. New England are expected to build around Carles Gil, who started at Philadelphia, with Dor Turgeman leading the line.
The visitors are expected to start Julian Hall and Jorge Ruvalcaba, the front pairing from the Miami win. New England are missing one regular, with Alhassan Yusuf already ruled out with a hamstring injury per the league status report, along with Leo Campana and Jack Harrison, and Yusuf's absence takes some bite out of the home midfield.
Key Factors
Gil remains the player who decides how New England play. He has 13 goals this season and he takes their penalties, 7 of the 13 from the spot, which matters against a visiting defense that defends its box as desperately as New York's does on the road. Turgeman has 10 goals and gives Gil a runner to find, and the pair carried the attack through the three straight wins that closed the season.
The visitors' case is pace and belief. Hall has 11 goals, Ruvalcaba has 8, and a side that just shut out Miami will not be intimidated by Foxborough. New York press in bursts and break quickly, and New England's full-backs push high enough to leave room behind them. The counterpoint is that New York's away form has flattered to deceive all year.
They lost 2-1 at D.C. United on October 14 and 2-0 at home to Toronto on October 17 before the Miami result, and one famous win does not repair a season of leaking goals on the road. New England protect their box at home, they have the best player on the field, and their form line is three wins deep rather than one. That is the steadier ground.
New England's revival is built on the two players Red Bull New York have to stop, and stopping both at once in Foxborough has beaten better sides than this lately. Gil finds the pockets, Turgeman finishes the moves, and the visitors give up too many chances on the road to survive that for a full game. The visitors' pace on the break is the way this goes wrong, so it is not a confident margin play. Take New England Revolution -0.5 at -108.
Game information
| DATE | Wednesday (10/28) |
|---|---|
| START TIME | 6:30 PM CT |
| HOW TO WATCH | Apple TV |
| VENUE | Gillette Stadium, Foxborough |
| COMPETITION | MLS |
| ROUND | MLS Regular Season |
| SPREAD | New England Revolution -0.5 (-108) |
| TOTAL | 3.25 (Over -118 · Under -101) |
| MONEYLINE | New England Revolution -109 / Draw +324 / Red Bull New York +240 |
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