SC Freiburg vs FC Augsburg Prediction, Odds, Best Bets - Bundesliga

SC Freiburg sit third and travel to Augsburg on a three-game losing run, while Augsburg have not lost at home all season and score freely at the WWK Arena. Something has to give in a meeting of a strong home attack and a road side running on fumes.

The Matchup

Freiburg are third, but they arrive on three straight defeats in all competitions, at Leverkusen in the league, at Monaco in Europe on Thursday, and at home to Bayern on Sunday. The legs and the mood both travel badly after a week like that. Their season split tells the same story. Freiburg have won three of four at home and scored 12 times there, but away they have scored 4 goals in three games, and a side that controlled its autumn is suddenly chasing its own freshness.

Neither club has named its side yet. The expectation is Michael Gregoritsch leading the line again for Augsburg in the 3-4-2-1 they used against Union Berlin, with Jeffrey Gouweleeuw stepping into the back three because Juma Bah is out, suspended after his red card in that game. Augsburg are also without Noahkai Banks, who has a knee injury, plus Alexis Claude-Maurice and Steve Mounié, and Calvin Brackelmann is a doubt after a head injury kept him out of the midweek cup squad, so keep an eye on the Augsburg team news before placing a bet.

Freiburg are expected to keep the 4-2-3-1 they used against Bayern, with Yuito Suzuki, their top scorer with 4 goals, in the side. Florent Muslija is out with a knee injury and Yannik Engelhardt is out lacking match fitness, while Jan-Niklas Beste is a doubt and still expected to start.

Key Factors

Augsburg's home games are the reason this pick exists. They are unbeaten at the WWK Arena, with a win and three draws, and they have scored 8 goals in those four games, including a 2-2 draw with Bayern and a 2-2 draw with Leverkusen. This is not a side that sits in and hopes. Michael Gregoritsch and Robin Fellhauer have 3 goals each, and the scoring comes from everywhere in this team, which makes Augsburg hard to shut down for a full game even with a first-choice defender suspended.

The honest counterpoint is that Freiburg are third for a reason. They won 5-0 against Gladbach in September and beat Schalke 2-1 at home, and Suzuki gives them a finisher Augsburg have to respect for as long as he is on the pitch.

If Freiburg score first and the game slows down, Augsburg will have to chase, and chasing is when their open style leaves gaps behind the wing-backs. But Freiburg have scored once in each of their last two league games, and a side at the end of its third hard week in a row rarely finds its best away performance on demand.

Every pick is published with its line before the game. Odds via consensus sportsbooks at time of writing and move constantly. Must be 21+. If gambling is a problem, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.