Zalgiris Kaunas vs Olimpia Milano Prediction, Odds, Best Bets - Round 11

ZALGIRIS KAUNAS(6-4)
VS
OLIMPIA MILANO(1-9)
SPREAD
Zalgiris Kaunas -1.5
TOTAL
169.5
MONEYLINE
Zalgiris Kaunas -121
Thursday (11/12) · 1:30 PM CT · EuroLeague TVUnipol Forumodds at time of writing
Inside Unipol Forum in Milan during a EuroLeague game, with a packed crowd
Unipol Forum (as the Mediolanum Forum) during the 2014 EuroLeague Final Four. Photo: Savino Paolella, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons
SpreadZAL -1.5
Total169.5
MoneylineZAL -121

Milano are 1-9 with one of the league's lowest scoring outputs and a defense allowing 89.6 per game, and Zalgiris arrive at the Unipol Forum off a 16-point road win in Istanbul.

The Matchup

Olimpia Milano's season is slipping away at 1-9, and Thursday brings the wrong visitor at the wrong time: a Zalgiris Kaunas team that defends, travels well, and just won by 16 on the road in Istanbul. Milano's home floor at the Unipol Forum has offered no shelter so far, and with their frontcourt thinned by injury, the question is whether pride and a home crowd can slow a slide that has lasted all season.

Key Factors

Zalgiris score 85.6 points per game and allow 82.3, a profile built on balance rather than one star. Carsen Edwards leads them at 15.3 points per game, and Jonas Valanciunas gives them a genuine interior anchor at 12.1 points and 8.4 rebounds. Milano score 81.1 points per game, one of the lowest outputs in the league, and allow 89.6. They lost 84-78 at Olympiacos in Round 9 and 84-73 at home to Valencia in Round 10.

Milano are without Devin Booker, who tore a tendon in his right thigh and is expected to miss about three months, removing one of their few reliable interior scorers. Zalgiris have an absence of their own: Nigel Williams-Goss is out with a hamstring injury, and he has played only twice this season, so the rotation that won 83-67 at Besiktas in Round 10 is the one that travels to Milan.

Our Pick
Zalgiris Kaunas -1.5-111

Milano's problems are structural: one of the lowest-scoring teams in the league also gives up points in bunches, and Booker is gone for months. Zalgiris defend, rebound, and just won comfortably in Istanbul with the same group that travels here. Take Zalgiris Kaunas -1.5 (-111).

Score Projection
Olimpia Milano 82, Zalgiris Kaunas 89

Game Information

DateThursday (11/12)
Start Time1:30 PM CT
How to WatchEuroLeague TV
VenueUnipol Forum
RoundRound 11
SpreadZalgiris Kaunas -1.5
Total169.5
MoneylineZalgiris Kaunas -121
SourceData: EuroLeague official feeds · Lines: Pinnacle

EuroLeague Betting Guide

Every pick is published with its line before the game. Odds via consensus sportsbooks at time of writing and move constantly. Must be 21+. If gambling is a problem, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.