Chattanooga Mocs vs Elon Phoenix Prediction, Odds, Best Bets - Week 2
Chattanooga is scoring 86.7 points per game behind Kobe McDowell-White, while Elon has played at a far slower scoring pace at home.
The Matchup
Elon hosts Chattanooga at the Schar Center as a small home favorite, but the styles point in opposite directions. Elon is 2-1 from the Coastal Athletic Association, scoring 69.3 points per game and allowing 68.3 this season. Chattanooga is 1-2 from the Southern Conference yet has scored 86.7 points per game, even while allowing 82.7, and the Mocs bring the most dynamic guard in the building in Kobe McDowell-White, who averages 17.0 points and 6.7 assists per game.
The numbers here blend this season with last season because both teams have played fewer than eight games, and that blend matters for Chattanooga because last season the Mocs finished 13-19 and scored 76.7 points per game, well below the early pace McDowell-White has set this fall. Elon was 14-18 last season and scored 78.1 per game, so its slower start at 69.3 may reflect opponent and tempo more than a permanent drop.
Josh Dalton leads Elon at 16.7 points and 7.7 rebounds per game, with Raul Villar adding 4.7 assists per game. McDowell-White, Dalton and Zach Bleshoy, who averages 7.0 rebounds per game for Chattanooga, carry no injury designations.
Key Factors
Tempo and shot creation decide whether Elon can cover at home. Chattanooga wants McDowell-White pushing in transition and creating for others, which explains the 6.7 assists alongside the scoring, and that pressure has produced 86.7 points per game despite a losing record. Elon counters with Dalton inside and out, and the Phoenix have been the tighter defensive team by a wide margin this season.
The honest counterpoint is Chattanooga defense. Allowing 82.7 points per game gives Elon a path to its best offensive night of the season, especially at home where Dalton can attack mismatches and Villar can organize half court sets. If Elon controls pace and keeps McDowell-White in the half court, the home team wins cleanly. The risk for Elon is that Chattanooga scoring travels, and a team that creates this many good looks does not need to win outright to stay inside a two possession spread.
Chattanooga brings the best playmaker on the floor and an offense that has scored in bunches, which makes this a difficult margin for Elon to clear at home. Take Chattanooga Mocs +3.5 at -105.
Game Information
| Date | Friday (11/13) |
|---|---|
| Start Time | 6:00 PM CT |
| How to Watch | FloSports |
| Venue | Schar Center, Elon |
| Spread | Elon Phoenix -3.5 |
| Total | 150.5 |
| Moneyline | Elon Phoenix -175 |
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