Crvena Zvezda vs Real Madrid Prediction, Odds, Best Bets - Round 11
Real Madrid lay 7.0 at home with both lead guards out: Maledon (knee) and Campazzo (hamstring). Crvena Zvezda allow a league-best 74.0 per game and just won 62-57 at Olympiacos.
The Matchup
Crvena Zvezda walk into the Movistar Arena on Thursday with the league's best defense and a fresh road win over Olympiacos, and they find a Real Madrid team winning on talent while its backcourt falls apart. Real sit 6-4 and score more than anyone, but both of their lead guards are out, and seven points is a big number to hand a team that defends like Zvezda. Something has to give between Real's firepower and Zvezda's discipline.
Key Factors
Zvezda allow 74.0 points per game, the stingiest defense in the league, and Round 10 showed what that means on the road: they won 62-57 at Olympiacos, holding the hosts under 60. Jordan Nwora leads Zvezda at 15.0 points and 5.5 rebounds per game, and Chima Moneke adds 10.3 points from a frontcourt that never stops working. Real score 96.7 points per game, the league's highest output, but the two men who create most of it are missing.
Theo Maledon, Real's top scorer at 16.3 points with 5.2 assists per game, is out with a knee sprain. Facundo Campazzo, who averages 9.7 points and 4.9 assists, is out indefinitely with a hamstring injury. Real still have Walter Tavares, who averages 10.5 points and 7.3 rebounds while shooting 77.6 percent, and Andres Feliz, who adds 13.6 points per game, steps into a much bigger creation role.
Zvezda were also without Johnathan Motley, who missed the game with a virus, and Stefan Miljenovic, who had ankle surgery this week; Christian Koloko did play after his visa issue was resolved. Real conceded 115 at home to Panathinaikos in Round 10, and a defense that loose cannot be trusted to build the margin this spread demands against the league's most disciplined team.
Seven points asks Real to pull away from the league's best defense with both of its lead guards in street clothes. Zvezda just won in Greece with exactly the grind this game sets up to be, and Real's own defense has been too loose to trust with a margin. Take Crvena Zvezda +7.0 (-111).
Game Information
| Date | Thursday (11/12) |
|---|---|
| Start Time | 2:00 PM CT |
| How to Watch | EuroLeague TV |
| Venue | Movistar Arena |
| Round | Round 11 |
| Spread | Crvena Zvezda +7.0 |
| Total | 175.0 |
| Moneyline | Crvena Zvezda +238 |
| Source | Data: EuroLeague official feeds · Lines: Pinnacle |
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