LAFC vs Seattle Sounders FC Prediction, Odds, Best Bets - MLS
The regular season ends at Lumen Field with Seattle Sounders FC tenth in the West and out of time. Seattle sit on 43 points, level with Portland Timbers and Colorado Rapids directly above them, and they probably need to beat LAFC on the final day to climb. LAFC arrive sixth, carried all season by Denis Bouanga and Son Heung-Min, but with one win in five and a habit of quiet away days.
The Matchup
LAFC's season has a simple shape. Denis Bouanga has scored 18 goals and taken 96 shots, Son Heung-Min has scored 7 and set up 14, and between them they have had a hand in most of what LAFC do well. Seattle's scoring is spread far thinner. Cristian Roldan, Paul Rothrock and Dejan Joveljic have 5 goals each, Albert Rusnák has 14 assists, and nobody in green carries the threat that either of LAFC's front two carries alone.
Neither club has named its side yet. The expectation is Son Heung-Min and Bouanga starting together again for LAFC, as they did against Minnesota United FC on November 2, with Hugo Lloris in goal. For Seattle, the expectation is Jordan Morris and Joveljic leading the line with Rusnák behind them, the front three from the side that started at Vancouver Whitecaps on November 1.
The recent form is grim on both sides. Seattle are winless in five, drawing with CF Montréal and San Diego FC and losing at FC Dallas, at home to Houston Dynamo FC, and 5-1 at Vancouver last Sunday. LAFC have one win in the same span, a 3-1 home win over Austin FC, with draws against Vancouver, New York City FC and LA Galaxy around a 3-1 home loss to Minnesota on November 2.
Key Factors
Seattle's home matches have been low, tight affairs through the autumn pulls. In the nine home matches pulled since August, Seattle scored 1.22 goals a game and conceded 1.11, and LAFC's away return over eight pulled matches is thinner still, 0.88 goals scored a game. LAFC's stars decide games at home; on the road the supply line behind them dries up, and Seattle's crowd will not mind a slow afternoon as long as the season stays alive.
The honest counterpoint is the table. Seattle probably need to win, and a team chasing a game late can turn a quiet match loud in a hurry. Bouanga and Son have combined for 25 goals this season, Seattle have conceded ten in their last five, and one LAFC counterattack could crack this open.
What beats the pick is an early goal from either side that forces the other to chase. But neither attack is in form, Seattle's home pattern is patient, and LAFC scored one or none in both of their last two away matches in the pulls, at FC Dallas and New York City FC.
Seattle have to win, and that usually argues for goals, but Seattle's home matches have stayed tight all autumn and LAFC's attack travels poorly, with its two stars asked to create almost everything. The danger is an early goal that turns the afternoon into a chase, and Seattle's need could do exactly that late on. At a line of three, though, the low total still has room to breathe. Take Under 3.0 goals at -112.
Game Information
| Date | Saturday (11/7) |
|---|---|
| Start Time | 6:00 PM CT |
| Venue | Lumen Field, Seattle |
| Competition | MLS |
| Round | MLS Regular Season |
| Spread | Seattle Sounders FC -0.5 (-112) |
| Total | 3 (Over -108) |
| Moneyline | Seattle Sounders FC -113 / Draw +287 / LAFC +275 |
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