Pennsylvania Quakers vs Navy Midshipmen Prediction, Odds, Best Bets - Week 2

Navy won twenty-six games last season behind a defense allowing 64.3 points a game and is allowing 65.7 again, with David Burnett pulling down 9.3 rebounds a night. Penn arrives at Alumni Hall having allowed 88.5 a game through two games.

The Matchup

Pennsylvania visits Navy on Wednesday at Alumni Hall (Navy) in Annapolis, on CBSSN, with Pennsylvania a 9.5-point favorite and a total of 149.5. The moneyline is off the board for both teams. The tip is at 4:30 PM CT. The line treats Penn as clearly better; the defensive numbers through the opening games treat this as a home underdog that is very hard to run away from.

Pennsylvania is 1-1 in the Ivy League, scoring 74.0 points a game and allowing 88.5 in the 2026-27 season. TJ Power leads the Quakers at 14.5 points and 3.5 assists a game, leading the team in scoring and creating at once, and Sir Mohammed leads them at 6.0 rebounds a game.

Navy is 2-1 in the Patriot League, scoring 69.0 points a game and allowing just 65.7, a gap of more than twenty points a game between what these two defenses are giving up. David Burnett leads the Midshipmen at 9.7 points and 9.3 rebounds a game, a forward who leads his team on the glass by a wide margin, and Cam Cole leads them at 2.7 assists a game.

Navy's defense is continuity, not an early-season accident, and its own last season proves it. The Midshipmen went 26-8 in 2025-26, scored 74.6 points a game, and allowed 64.3, so a team that won twenty-six games by defending is allowing 65.7 a night again this season with Burnett anchoring the boards. Penn's defensive number is the one that has broken from its own history: the Quakers went 18-12 last season, scored 75.9, and allowed 74.4, a solid winning team that defended respectably, which makes 88.5 allowed through two games this season a genuine warning sign for a road favorite rather than a shrug.

Key Factors

The defensive contrast is large enough to carry a cover on its own. Navy allows 65.7 points a game and allowed 64.3 across a full winning season last winter, while Penn has allowed 88.5 a game through two games, and a favorite that cannot get stops on the road has to outscore its problems for forty minutes. Navy does not need to be brilliant on offense at home; it needs its usual defense to turn this into the kind of low, physical game where a big spread is hard to clear.

Burnett on the glass is Navy's second edge. At 9.3 rebounds a game against Mohammed at 6.0, he should end Penn possessions after one shot and extend Navy's own, and extra possessions matter most for a home underdog that scores 69.0 a game and wins by shrinking the game. Power is Penn's counterweight and the best scorer in this matchup at 14.5 points a game, well clear of Burnett's 9.7, and his 3.5 assists a game give the Quakers a creator Navy has to account for on every trip down the floor.

The honest counterpoint is that Navy's offense may not hold up its end. The Midshipmen score 69.0 points a game and their leading scorer averages 9.7, so if Power gets comfortable and Penn's defense plays anywhere near the 74.4 a game it allowed across last season, Navy could defend well and still drift too far behind to use the points. A road favorite with the best player on the floor covers spreads like this when that player dictates the game early, and Power has the scoring and passing to do exactly that in Annapolis.

Every pick is published with its line before the game. Odds via consensus sportsbooks at time of writing and move constantly. Must be 21+. If gambling is a problem, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.