Raiders vs Jets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets - Nov 1, 2026
Two losing teams meet at MetLife Stadium with very different problems. Las Vegas can throw the ball but cannot stop anyone or run it, while the Jets have quietly built the steadier defense and the more reliable ground game.
The Matchup
Las Vegas moves the ball through the air and struggles almost everywhere else. Kirk Cousins has thrown for 1,877 yards and 16 touchdowns this season, and Tre Tucker has turned 29 catches into 474 yards and 4 scores. That passing game is real, and it explains why the Raiders score 26.1 points per game despite everything around it.
The trouble is the rest of the roster. Las Vegas runs for just 74.7 yards per game at 3.0 yards per carry, so Cousins has to win on obvious passing downs. The defense gives up 28.1 points per game, the worst mark in this matchup by a wide margin, and a one dimensional offense paired with a leaky defense is how a team loses three straight games.
The Jets are limited but coherent. Breece Hall is out with a quadriceps injury, and Braelon Allen is the lead back in his place. Allen has carried 91 times for 418 yards this season, and his recent workload tells the story of this offense: 17 carries for 104 yards against Miami last week and 24 carries for 116 yards and a touchdown against Cleveland.
New York protects the ball, completes 70.0 percent of its passes, and leans on a defense that allows 21.4 points per game. The Jets also play without starting tackle Max Mitchell, who is out with a concussion, and guard Dylan Parham, who is out with a knee injury, so the line in front of Allen is thinner than the Jets would like.
Key Factors
The ground game decides whether the Jets can control this one. Las Vegas cannot run and cannot consistently stop drives, and Allen gives New York a way to hold the ball and keep Cousins on the sideline. If Allen gets close to the volume he saw against Cleveland and Miami, the Jets dictate the tempo and their defense plays from ahead.
Cousins against the Jets secondary is the counterweight. New York has intercepted only one pass all season, so the Jets do not win by taking the ball away through the air. Tucker has been Cousins' most productive target, and if Las Vegas protects well enough to let routes develop downfield, the Raiders can score quickly enough to make Allen's steady carries feel too slow.
The honest counterpoint is that the Jets offense has a low ceiling. New York scores 19.6 points per game, and asking a team that scores that little to cover any number is uncomfortable. If Cousins gets hot early and Las Vegas builds a lead, the Jets do not have the passing firepower to chase, and the Raiders win outright.
This is a game between a team that scores and cannot defend and a team that defends and cannot score. At home, the steadier profile wins out: the Jets can run the ball, protect it, and make Las Vegas earn every drive against a defense that gives up far less. The Raiders' defensive problems travel, and that settles it. Take the Jets -1.5.
Game information
| DATE | Sunday (11/1) |
|---|---|
| START TIME | 1:00 PM ET |
| HOW TO WATCH | FOX |
| VENUE | MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford |
| SPREAD | Jets -1.5 |
| TOTAL | 45.5 |
| MONEYLINE | Raiders -110 |
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