Seahawks vs Raiders Prediction, Odds, Best Bets - Nov 15, 2026

The 5-4 Seattle Seahawks visit the 4-5 Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, a game shaped by the widest defensive gap on the slate and by a Seattle offense that must win without its starting quarterback.

The Matchup

Seattle's trip to Las Vegas is a test of whether a defense can carry a team through a week without its quarterback. The Seahawks are 5-4 and allow only 18.0 points per game, with wins of 17-3 over Arizona in Week 9 and 20-3 over Kansas City in Week 7 showing how completely this defense can shut a game down.

Las Vegas is 4-5 and allows 29.8 points per game, the most on this slate, and the Raiders lost 38-17 to San Francisco last week after winning a 38-33 shootout with the Jets. The Raiders want a track meet. Seattle wants a wrestling match, and the Seahawks have the defense to impose their version indoors.

Kirk Cousins gives Las Vegas the more productive passing game on paper. Cousins has thrown for 2,340 yards with 20 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and Brock Bowers has 48 catches for 658 yards and 6 touchdowns as his primary target. The Raiders average 266.8 passing yards per game and score 26.4 points per game, so Seattle's secondary will be tested all afternoon.

The weakness is on the ground. Las Vegas averages only 71.3 rushing yards per game at 2.9 yards per carry, and Ashton Jeanty has 114 carries for just 362 yards and 1 touchdown. A one dimensional offense plays into a Seattle defense that has 21 sacks and 53 tackles for loss.

Seattle's offense has to be rebuilt around its healthiest stars. Sam Darnold is out with a quadriceps injury, and Darnold is not expected back until November 29. Jaxon Smith-Njigba becomes the center of the passing game, and his numbers demand it, with 71 catches for 1,036 yards and 9 touchdowns.

Emanuel Wilson has 111 carries for 403 yards and 3 touchdowns and gives Seattle a workmanlike ground game that averages 110.8 yards per game as a team. Against a defense allowing 29.8 points per game, Seattle does not need fireworks. It needs Smith-Njigba winning his routes, Wilson keeping the offense on schedule, and drives that end in touchdowns instead of punts.

The Seattle defense also arrives short handed, which keeps this game honest. Leonard Williams is out with a shoulder injury, and Brandon Pili is also out on the defensive line, while Quenton Nelson is out on the offensive line and Rashid Shaheed is out at receiver.

Byron Murphy II has 4 sacks and Ernest Jones IV has 88 tackles, and that pair has to anchor a front missing Williams against a Raiders line protecting Cousins. Las Vegas has Maxx Crosby, who has 4 sacks, and Nakobe Dean, who has 98 tackles, so the Raiders can make Seattle's backup quarterback situation uncomfortable if they win early downs and force obvious passing situations.

Key Factors

The favorite's case is the defensive gap, and it is the widest one in this matchup. Seattle allows 18.0 points per game and Las Vegas allows 29.8, a difference that shows up in how these teams finish games. The Raiders have allowed 38, 33, and 35 points in three of their recent outings, and they cannot run the ball well enough at 2.9 yards per carry to protect that defense late.

Seattle has allowed 3 points twice in its last three wins. Even a modest offensive day from the Seahawks forces Cousins to chase against a pass rush that can pin its ears back, and chasing is where his 8 interceptions have come from this season.

Las Vegas still owns the best counterpoint in this game, and it is under center. Cousins has 20 touchdown passes and Bowers is a matchup problem for any linebacker or safety Seattle assigns to him, with 658 receiving yards from the tight end position.

If the Raiders spread Seattle out and throw early on first down, they can build the lead that forces Seattle's offense to chase without Darnold, and a backup led offense chasing on the road is a fragile thing. The Raiders also have a plus 1 turnover differential and 14 takeaways, so one tipped ball can hand Cousins a short field and turn Seattle's defensive plan into damage control.

Seattle's absences are the risk the whole pick carries. Darnold is out with a quadriceps injury, Williams is out with a shoulder injury, and Shaheed is out with a knee injury, so the Seahawks are missing their quarterback, a defensive cornerstone, and a field stretching receiver in the same week.

Las Vegas is comparatively healthier, with Thomas Booker IV out on the defensive line as its main listed absence among starters. Seattle's answer has to come from Smith-Njigba, whose 1,036 receiving yards are the best mark in this game, and from a defense that has carried this team before, including the 20-3 win over Kansas City and the 17-3 win at Arizona.

What beats Seattle is a Cousins and Bowers afternoon where Las Vegas scores early, the crowd gets loud, and the Seahawks offense stalls without its starter while trying to answer through the air. That script is real, and it is why this game stays close on paper between a 5-4 visitor and a 4-5 home team.

Seattle's path is narrower but clearer. Win first down with Wilson, feed Smith-Njigba against a defense that gives up points to everyone, and let a defense allowing 18.0 points per game handle a one dimensional passing attack that cannot run when it needs to. That formula has already won Seattle games this season.

Every pick is published with its line before the game. Odds via consensus sportsbooks at time of writing and move constantly. Must be 21+. If gambling is a problem, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.