Vancouver Whitecaps vs CF Montréal Prediction, Odds, Best Bets - MLS

(1)VANCOUVER WHITECAPS(18-7-8)
VS
(15)CF MONTRÉAL(6-8-19)
SPREAD
Vancouver Whitecaps -0.75
TOTAL
3.25
MONEYLINE
CF Montréal +341 / Draw +338 / Vancouver Whitecaps -152
Saturday (11/7) · 3:00 PM CTStade Saputo, Montrealodds at time of writing
Stade Saputo
Stade Saputo. Photo: Gates of Ale, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons

The regular season ends at Stade Saputo with the West's best team visiting the East's worst. Vancouver Whitecaps sit top of the West on 61 points with 72 goals scored, and CF Montréal sit bottom of the East on 26 points, with 67 goals conceded and nothing left to play for. Brian White has scored 20 of Vancouver's goals, and Montréal have not won any of their last six.

The Matchup

Vancouver's numbers describe the most complete team in the West. They have scored 72 goals and conceded 34 in 33 matches, Brian White has 20 goals on 102 shots, and Thomas Müller has added 9 goals and 8 assists. Montréal's season rests on one man. Prince Owusu has scored 15 of the club's 37 goals and set up 6 more, and the next name on the list, Daniel Ríos, has 7.

Neither club has named its side yet. The expectation is White starting again for Vancouver with Bruno Caicedo, who has 6 goals this season, after both started the 5-1 win over Seattle Sounders FC on November 1. For Montréal, the expectation is the front three from the draw at New York City FC, Hennadii Synchuk, Wikelman Carmona and Alexis Sánchez, with Carmona's 4 goals and 4 assists making him the busiest of the three.

Vancouver closed the season's hardest stretch in form, beating San Diego FC 4-1 and Seattle 5-1 in the last week, with a 2-1 win at Austin FC before that. Montréal have taken two points from their last six, losing at home to Atlanta United FC and Nashville SC and 4-0 at Charlotte FC, and their two draws at Seattle and New York City FC are all that has interrupted the slide.

Key Factors

The split that decides this is Montréal's home defending against Vancouver's away defending. In the matches pulled since August, Montréal conceded 1.88 goals a game at home, and Vancouver conceded 0.75 a game on the road while scoring 1.50. Montréal's home matches ask their attack to outscore a leak, and an attack that has scored twice in five matches is not built for that.

The honest counterpoint is the calendar. Vancouver are already sure of first place in the West, six points clear of FC Dallas with one match to play, and a rotated side with one eye on the playoffs is the obvious danger. Vancouver also lost at Colorado Rapids and drew scoreless at St. Louis CITY SC on the road last month, so the away floor is not spotless.

What beats the pick is a flat, resting Vancouver and a proud Montréal performance in front of their own crowd. But Montréal's last six offer little sign of that performance arriving, and Vancouver's depth has kept their level higher than most first-choice elevens in this league.

Our Pick
Vancouver Whitecaps -0.75 (-122)

Vancouver are the West's best side by a distance and Montréal the East's softest defense, and even a rotated Vancouver team carries the movement of White and the most reliable away back line in the conference. The risk is real, because first place is settled and a coasting Vancouver can let Montréal make this awkward at home. But Montréal have stopped scoring and cannot keep anyone out. Take Vancouver Whitecaps -0.75 at -122.

Score Projection
Vancouver Whitecaps 2, CF Montréal 0

Game Information

DateSaturday (11/7)
Start Time3:00 PM CT
VenueStade Saputo, Montreal
CompetitionMLS
RoundMLS Regular Season
SpreadVancouver Whitecaps -0.75 (-122)
Total3.25 (Over -120)
MoneylineCF Montréal +341 / Draw +338 / Vancouver Whitecaps -152

Every pick is published with its line before the game. Odds via consensus sportsbooks at time of writing and move constantly. Must be 21+. If gambling is a problem, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.