Coastal Carolina vs Georgia State Prediction, Odds, Best Bets - Week 9
Georgia State's offense is the most productive unit in this game, scoring 35.9 points per game with a run game that averages 5.4 yards per carry. Coastal Carolina arrives rested and dangerous through the air, which should keep Atlanta uncomfortable.
The Matchup
Deuce Bailey gives Coastal Carolina a shootout path on the road. Bailey threw for 298 yards and 3 touchdowns against Appalachian State, completing 16 of 31 passes at 9.6 yards per attempt, and Bailey has 1,638 passing yards with 16 touchdowns and 4 interceptions this season. Dominic Lee-Knicely ran 18 times for 90 yards in that 35-32 loss, and Lee-Knicely has 452 rushing yards this season.
Coastal Carolina averages 26.1 points per game and 234.9 passing yards per game. Georgia State answers with balance Coastal Carolina will struggle to slow down. Georgia State averages 35.9 points per game, 244.0 passing yards per game, and 205.3 rushing yards per game at 5.4 yards per carry.
Rodshaun Dorsey caught 3 passes for 85 yards and a touchdown at Arkansas State, averaging 28.3 yards per catch, and Dorsey has 24 catches for 418 yards and 8 touchdowns this season. Coastal Carolina has had 14 days since its last game, while Georgia State played on October 24. The tension is rest against rhythm. Bailey had time to prepare for a Georgia State defense that allows 26.0 points per game, but Georgia State's offense has more ways to score.
Key Factors
Georgia State's ground game showed a burst last week that Coastal Carolina has to respect. Qwantavius Wiggins carried 8 times for 99 yards and a touchdown at Arkansas State, averaging 12.4 yards per carry with a 77-yard run. Ayden Pereira completed 12 of 19 passes for 163 yards and 2 touchdowns in that game, though Pereira also threw 2 interceptions.
With Dorsey stretching the field at 28.3 yards per catch last week, Georgia State can pair explosive passes with a run game that already averages 205.3 yards per game. Coastal Carolina allows 25.9 points per game, almost identical to Georgia State's 26.0, so the offensive gap drives this matchup. Georgia State has scored 17 passing touchdowns and 14 rushing touchdowns. The counterpoint is Bailey and the rest edge.
Bailey threw 3 touchdowns in Coastal Carolina's last game, Coastal Carolina has thrown only 4 interceptions as a team, and 14 days of rest is a real advantage in late October. Georgia State quarterbacks have thrown 8 interceptions, and Georgia State has 12 giveaways. If Bailey plays clean and Georgia State gives away a possession or two, Coastal Carolina can absolutely win this game, not just cover.
Editorial pick: Georgia State -6.5 at -110. Georgia State averages 35.9 points per game with 205.3 rushing yards per game at 5.4 yards per carry, and Dorsey has 8 receiving touchdowns. That is more scoring depth than Coastal Carolina can match for four quarters. Take Georgia State -6.5 at -110.
Game information
| DATE | Saturday (10/31) |
|---|---|
| START TIME | 2:00 PM ET |
| HOW TO WATCH | ESPN+ |
| VENUE | Center Parc Stadium, Atlanta |
| SPREAD | Georgia State -6.5 |
| TOTAL | 59.5 |
| MONEYLINE | Georgia State -245 |
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Every pick is published with its line before the game. Odds via consensus sportsbooks at time of writing and move constantly. Must be 21+. If gambling is a problem, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.