New York Rangers vs Seattle Kraken Prediction: Best Bet for Saturday

NEW YORK RANGERS(9-7-1)
VS
SEATTLE KRAKEN(9-5-1)
TOTAL
6.5
MONEYLINE
New York Rangers -130
Saturday (11/7) · 4:00 PM CT · NHLClimate Pledge Arenaodds at time of writing
Climate Pledge Arena interior during a Seattle Kraken game
Climate Pledge Arena. Photo: SounderBruce, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons
Total6.5
MoneylineNYR -130

Seattle scores 3.47 goals per game and kills only 65.0 percent of its penalties, the most volatile mix on the Saturday slate. The Rangers defend as well as anyone in this game, but they have won once in seven road games, and Climate Pledge Arena will test that split properly.

The Matchup

Seattle is 9-5-1, scoring 3.47 goals per game and allowing 3.53, a -0.07 differential that makes Kraken games the loosest on the slate. Seattle is 5-2-0 at home and 6-3-1 over its last ten. Berkly Catton leads the Kraken with 12 points and Frederick Gaudreau has 7 goals, modest totals for a team scoring 3.47 a night, which tells you the goals come from everywhere and so do the chances against.

The Rangers are 9-7-1, scoring 3.00 per game and allowing 2.88 for a +0.12 differential. Adam Fox leads New York with 21 points on 19 assists, and Alexis Lafreniere has 9 goals. The honest stain on the Rangers' page is the road split: 1-5-1 away from home, with two points from seven road games. Everything else about this team travels. That one line does not.

Key Factors

Seattle's penalty kill decides games in the wrong direction. The Kraken kill 65.0 percent of their penalties, the weakest mark in this game by a wide margin, and they allow 3.53 goals per game in front of Philipp Grubauer at 3.24 and .886 and Joey Daccord at 3.53 and .889. The Rangers kill 90.6 percent of their penalties, the best unit here, and convert 20.0 percent on the power play. A team that cannot kill a penalty cannot protect a home lead against a patient road side.

New York's net belongs to Dylan Garand, who has a 2.52 goals-against average and a .906 save percentage. Igor Shesterkin is out tonight. He has a lower body injury, per the Rangers' injury report. Seattle is missing Jared McCann, who is out with a lower body injury, Curtis Douglas, who is out with an upper body injury, Jacob Melanson, who is out with a chest injury, and Ryan Lindgren, who is out with an upper body injury.

The Seattle case is the building, the 5-2-0 home record, and the Rangers' 1-5-1 road split, and it is a real case. It fails because Seattle's defensive numbers are not a slump but a profile: 3.53 allowed, a 65.0 percent kill, and two goaltenders under .890. The Rangers do not need their road form to become good. They need it to become ordinary for one night against the leakiest home defense on the slate.

Our Pick
New York Rangers ML-130

Seattle gives goals back too easily to hold off a Rangers team that defends and kills penalties this well, even in a building where New York has struggled. Take the New York Rangers moneyline at -130.

Game Information

DateSaturday (11/7)
Start Time4:00 PM CT
How to WatchNHL
VenueClimate Pledge Arena
Total6.5
MoneylineNew York Rangers -130

Player Props for This Game

1 prop
  • Brandon Montour PointsOver 0.5 +115
See the full prop card for this game, with short analysis, on the NHL props page →

Every pick is published with its line before the game. Odds via consensus sportsbooks at time of writing and move constantly. Must be 21+. If gambling is a problem, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.